DemDaily: Tuesday’s Election Results! The Next Ground Zero

May 18, 2022

Yesterday's elections solidified Pennsylvania's standing as ground zero for the 2022 midterm elections, with the country's most-watched Senate primary still hanging in the balance.

The results in the Keystone State, as well as those in North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky, and Oregon, also produced mixed results for those hoping for validation of former President Donald Trump's influence over GOP voters in the primaries.

See: DemDaily: The 2022 Election Calendar

PENNSYLVANIA
US Senate
In the open seat to succeed retiring Republican Senator Pat Toomey, Democrat John Fetterman, who easily swept his primary with 59%, is still waiting to find out whom he will face in November.

Results: Fetterman 59%, Congressman Conor Lamb's 26.5%, State Representative Malcolm Kenyatta 10.3%, Jenkintown Borough Council member Alexandria Khalil 4.3%.

In the high-profile GOP Senate primary, Trump-endorsed television celebrity Mehmet Oz and former hedge fund CEO David McCormick are within 1,725 votes of each other, with Oz at 31.3% to McCormick's 31.1%, followed by Kathy Barnette at 24.7%.

With some 32,000 outstanding vote-by-mail ballots yet to be counted, however, the outcome is far from determined. In the critical battleground which may ultimately determine the balance of power in the US Senate, a recount is automatically triggered when the results are within half a percentage point, so this race will be going into overtime.

Governor
In the seat to succeed Governor Tom Wolf (D), Democrat Josh Shapiro will go head-to-head against ultra-right, Trump-endorsed State Senator Doug Mastriano.

Results: Mastriano 44.3%, former Congressman Lou Barletta 20.2%, former US Attorney William McSwain 15.6%, former Delaware County Councilmember Dave White 9.5%.

While the nomination of the avowed insurrectionist who received a last-minute endorsement from Trump, puts another feather in the former President's hat, concerns about Mastriano's electability in the general election bode well for Democrats.

Other Highlights: In the Lieutenant Governor's race, Democratic State Representative Austin Davis will face Republican Carrie Lewis DelRosso.

In the Seventh Congressional District GOP primary, Lisa Scheller leads Kevin Dellicker 51.3% to 48.7% in the contest to take on incumbent Democrat Susan Wild. In the Eighth CD, incumbent Democrat Matt Cartwright is set for a rematch with 2020 nominee Jim Bognet (R).

The Democratic primary for Pennsylvania’s 12th District is still unresolved, with State Representative Summer Lee leading attorney Steve Irwin 41.7% to 41.3%.

In the open 17th CD vacated by Conor Lamb, attorney Chris DeLuzio defeated LGBTQ advocate Sean Meloy, 63%-37%. DeLuzio will run against former Ross Township Commissioner Jeremy Shaffer in the general.

NORTH CAROLINA
In the Eleventh Congressional District, Trump-endorsed and scandal-ridden freshman Republican Madison Cawthorn lost the GOP primary with 31.9% to State Senator Chuck Edwards' 33.4%.

US Senator Tim Tillis (R) and the GOP establishment rallied around Edwards to unseat Cawthorn, the only member to be called out by national Republican leaders for his controversial statements. Edwards will face Buncombe County Commissioner and pastor Jasmine Beach-Ferrara in the general election.

In the US Senate contest, former State Supreme Court Chief Justice Cheri Beasley will go head-to-head against Trump-backed Congressman Ted Budd (13th CD). Results: Budd 58.6%, former Governor Pat McCrory 24.6%, former Congressman Mark Walker 9.2%.

Other Highlights: In the open First Congressional District, State Senator Don Davis (D) will face Republican Sandy Smith, who secured her nomination with 31.4%. In the open Fourth CD, State Senator Valerie Foushee, who won the Democratic nomination with 46.1%, will run against the GOP's Courtney Geels.

In the Sixth CD, Christian Castelli won the GOP primary with 36.2% to challenge incumbent Democrat Kathy Manning, and in the 13th CD, vacated by Budd, it will be Democrat State Senator Wiley Nickel against Trump-endorsed former college football player Bo Hines, who won the GOP primary with 32.1%.

IDAHO
US Senate: Democrat David Roth defeated Ben Pursley 57.7% to 42.3% to win the contest to challenge incumbent Republican Senator Mike Crapo.

Governor: In the high-profile Republican gubernatorial primary, incumbent Governor Brad Little easily dispatched challenger and Lieutenant Governor Janice McGeachin, 52.8% to +32.2%. The race drew national attention for Trump's early endorsement of McGeachin, considered among the most extreme of the conservatives he is supporting.

The results of the Democratic gubernatorial primary will not be known for a while. In addition to the sole qualifying candidate on the ballot, former Army National Guard member Stephen Heidt, two other candidates are running write-in campaigns, which must be counted by hand.

In a win for the Big Lie, longtime incumbent Attorney General Lawrence Wasden lost the GOP nomination to former Congressman Raúl Labrador, who attacked Wasden for not joining the lawsuit to overturn the 2020 presidential election. Labrador, who secured 51.5% to Wasden's 37.9%, will face Democrat Boise attorney Steven Scanlin in the general.

In the GOP primary for Idaho Secretary of State, however, Ada County Clerk Phil McGrane prevailed over State Representative Dorothy Moon, 43.1% to 41.4%. McGrane has accepted the results of the 2020 election, while Moon embraced Trump's conspiracy theories about voter fraud.

Tomorrow: Primary Election Results in Kentucky and Oregon!

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Sources: NPR, FiveThirtyEight, New York Times, Idaho Capital Sun, AP

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