DemDaily: Tuesday’s Election Results! Arizona, Florida, Kansas, Ohio, Illinois

March 20. 2024

In yesterday's relatively low-profile primary contests, President Joe Biden (D) and former President Donald Trump (R) swept Arizona, Florida, Kansas, Ohio and Illinois as their party's presumptive nominees.

Florida Republicans held their presidential primary as well, but Florida Democrats canceled their presidential primary and opted to award all of the state’s delegates to Biden.

The two adversaries surpassed their respective party delegate thresholds to reach the nomination after the March 5 Super Tuesday primaries, and are now focused on firing up their base in an increasingly contentious campaign as they move through the remaining primary calendar.

Of note, however, is the percentage of voters in each state who chose to cast their ballot for an alternative candidate or, in the case of the Kansas primaries, "None of the Names Shown" which garnered 10.3% in the Democratic primary and 5.2% in the GOP contest.

Although presidential contenders Nikki Haley (R), Ron DeSantis (R) and Dean Phillips (D) have dropped out of the race, their names remain on most state ballots.

In Florida, Trump won 81.2% of the primary vote, but former candidates Haley (13.9%) and DeSantis.(3.7%) still received close to 200,000 votes. Phillips secured 12.9% in the In Ohio Democratic primary, while Haley drew 14.4% and DeSantis 3.4% from Trump in the GOP primary.

The numbers send a warning to both campaigns of voter discontent with the party choices, while also identifying potential swing voters based on their alternative choice.

We are now more than halfway through the primary season, with 38 of 57 states or territories, including Democrats Abroad, having held their primaries or caucuses.

Downballot Races
While Arizona, Florida and Kansas held only presidential contests, Ohio and Illinois held statewide primaries featuring notable races.

Ohio Senate: In the competitive Republican primary to determine who will challenge three-term Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown, Trump-endorsed businessman Bernie Moreno prevailed with 50.5% of the vote, followed by State Senator and 2022 US Senate candidate Matt Dolan with 32.9%, and Secretary of State Frank LaRose finishing a distant third with 16.6%.

The outcome is good news for Brown and Democrats who invested heavily in ads boosting the far-right Moreno, whose extremism makes him an easier general election opponent.

Brown survived his 2018 reelection with 53.4%, but the Buckeye State has tilted increasingly red over the past decade, handing Trump victories in 2016 and 2020. Brown is considered the most vulnerable incumbent up in 2024.

In Illinois's 7th District Democratic primary, 82-year-old incumbent Danny Davis fended off four challengers with 53.3% of the vote, as did Fourth District Democratic Congressman “Chuy” García, who defeated Chicago Alderman Raymond Lopez, 69.1%-30.9%.

In the 12th CD Republican primary, Congressman Mike Bosta appears to have defeated MAGA primary challenger Darren Bailey 51.4%-48.6%.

In addition to the state primaries, California's 20th Congressional District Special Election to fill the vacancy left by former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy is now going to a May 21 runoff.

With 84% reporting, Republican State Assemblyman Vince Fong is leading the nine-person field with 40.8%, followed by Republican Mike Boudreaux (26.2%) and Democrat Marissa Wood (23.1%) who are competing for the second slot.

Next Up! March 23: Louisiana Primaries and Missouri Democratic Presidential Primary
See: The DemList Presidential Primary Calendar

DemList will keep you informed.

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Kimberly Scott

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Sources: AP, Washington Post, New York Times, CBS

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