DemDaily: The Resigned

November 14, 2017

While Democrats made gains on the state level last Tuesday, Republicans were able to take some solace in the victory of Republican Jim Curtis in the November 7th Special Election to fill Jason Chaffetz 's (R-UT) Congressional seat.

                             Image CNN

The outcome of the six 2017 House special elections, to-date, have not shifted the partisan numbers in Congress' lower chamber, but there are at least two more special elections on the docket, and more expected.

More significantly, 36 Members of the House have announced their resignations, retirements or plans to vacate office to run for another office - 25 Republicans and 11 Democrats.

Democrats hold 194 seats to Republicans 241. It will take a net gain of 24 seats for Democrats to take control of the House in 2018.

In a turbulent political environment that continues to reflect the voters' dissastisfaction with the Trump Administration, the growing number of GOP Members exiting the fray further endangers their 241 to 194 seat control of the US House of Representatives.

US House: Those Resigned to Depart

State/CD
Departing Incumbent
Reason
AZ-9
Kyrsten Sinema (D)
Running for US Senate. Anounced 9/28/17
CO-2
Jared Polis (D)
Running for Governor. Announced  6/11/17
HI-1 Colleen Hanabusa (D) Running for Governor. Announced  9/1/17
FL-27
leana Ros-Lehtinen (R)
Retiring
ID-1
Raul Labrador (R)
Running for Governor. Announced 5/9/17
IN-4 Tod Rokita (R)
Running for US Senate. Announced 8/9/17
IN-6 Luke Messer (R)
Running for US Senate. Announced 7/26/17
KS-2
Lynn Jenkins (R)
Retiring
MD-6
John Delaney (D)
Running for President. Announced 7/31/17
MA-3 Niki Tsongas (D)
Retiring
MI-11
Dave Trott (R)
Retiring
MN-1
Tim Walz (D)
Running for Governor. Announced 3/27/17
NH-1
Carol Shea-Porter (D)
Retiring
NJ-2
Frank LoBiondo (R)
Retiring
NV-3
Jacky Rosen (D)
Running for US Senate. Announced 7/5/17
NM-1
Michelle Lujan Grisham (D)
Running for Governor. Announced 12/13/16
NM-2
Steve Pearce (R)
Running for Governor. Announced  7/10/17
OH-12
Pat Tiberi (R)
Resigned. Effective "by January 31, 2017" (Special election TBA)
OH-16
James Renacci (R)
Running for Governor. Announced 3/20/17
OK-1
Nominated for NASA Administrator, awaiting Senate confirmation
PA-11 Lou Barletta (R)
Running for US Senate. Announced 8/29/17
PA-15
Charlie Dent (R)
Retiring
PA-18 Tim Murphy (R)
Resigned. Effective 10/21/17 (*Special election TBA)
SD-AL Kristi Noem (R)
Running for Governor. Announced 11/14/16
TN-2
John J. Duncan Jr. (R)
Retiring
TN-6 Diane Black (R)
Running for Governor. Announced  8/2/17
TN-7
Marsha Blackburn (R)
Running for US Senate. Announced 10/15/17
TX-2 Ted Poe (R) Retiring
TX-3
Sam Johnson (R)
Retiring
TX-5
Jeb Hensarling (R)
Retiring
TX-16
Beto O'Rourke (D)
Running for US Senate. Announced 3/31/17
TX-21
Lamar Smith (R)
Retiring
VA-6
Bob Goodlatte (R)
Retiring
WA-9
Dave Reichert (R)
Retiring
WV-3
Evan Jenkins (R)
Running for US Senate. Announced 5/8/17
Addition: TX-29, Gene Green (D), Retiring
List is an accumulation from numerous resources.  Please let us know if we have missed someone!

 

Advantage Dems
These numbers already far exceed the average of 22 Members who retire each election cycle (since 1976). Combine that with the fact that the party outside the White House averages a pick up of 28 seats in mid-term elections, and the numbers are looking up for Democrats.

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Sources: CNN, Ballotpedia, CBS

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