DemDaily: The House Casualty List

November 16, 2023

One year away from the 2024 elections, the number of members departing the US House of Representatives next November stands at 26.

Congressmen Dan Kildee (D-MI) and George Santos (R-NY) are the latest casualties, with both announcing today they will not run for reelection.

The exit of the embattled Santos, however, is likely to be expedited after this morning's release of the House Ethics Committee's 56-page report, which found that the New York Congressman, elected in 2022, violated numerous federal criminal laws.

The partisan breakdown of the 118th Congress of the US House of Representatives stands at 222 Republicans to 213 Democrats, including one Republican vacancy in Utah.

In the first two weeks of November alone, five other members have announced their plans to retire or run for higher office -- including Virginia's 7th District Congresswoman, Abigail Spanberger, who on Monday declared her intention to run for Governor in 2024.

In North Carolina, two departing members, Republican Dan Bishop (CD8) and Democrat Jeff Jackson (CD14) will be competing for state Attorney General, while eight members are leaving to run for the US Senate.

Three current California members, Adam Schiff (CD30), Katie Porter (CD 47) and Barbara Lee (CD12) are running to fill the seat of the late Senator Dianne Feinstein.

Other House members aspiring to the US Senate include Democrats Ruben Gallegos (Arizona), Lisa Blunt Rochester (Delaware), David Trone (Maryland), Elisa Slotkin (Michigan), Andy Kim (New Jersey) and Colin Allred (Texas), as well as Republican members Jim Banks (Indiana) and Alex Mooney (West Virginia).

Two additional House seats will be decided prior to the 2024 elections through special elections.

Utah's Second Congressional District Special Election will be held November 21, 2023 to fill the vacancy of Republican Congressman Chris Stewart, who resigned September 15.

The second, which has yet to be scheduled, will be for the 26th District of New York -- held by Democrat Brian Higgins, who announced last Sunday that he will step down in February of 2024. That will bring to a total four special elections to-date in the 118th Congress.

All told, the 20 Democrats and 10 Republicans who have left, or plan to leave, the US House by November, 2024 are far from the last. On average, 52 members have left each cycle since 2012.

Congressional District Ratings: The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) measures the performance of each of the 435 congressional districts based on the last two presidential elections (75/25) compared to the nation as a whole.

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Kimberly Scott

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Sources: Ballotpedia, Cook Political Report, US House

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