DemDaily: Swing States Update!
October 12, 2016
In presidential politics, a "Swing State," or battleground state, is a state where no single candidate or party traditionally wins the states' electoral votes every four years.
While a core 7-8 states fall into this category, in any given cycle the dynamics of the presidential, candidates, other down ballot races, and the work done by the national and state parties, may put states which are otherwise a strength for one party back in play.
2016 is one of those cycles - with an estimated 15 states still in the balance. Following an eventful month, including three national debates, a series of scandals, and fluctuating numbers, a polling update to our September 12th DemDaily on swing states!
State | September 12 Polling Average | October 12 Polling Average | Electoral Votes | 2012 Result |
Arizona |
Trump +2.2
|
Trump +1.0 |
11
|
Romney +9.1
|
Colorado |
Clinton +8.5
|
Clinton +7.3 | 9 |
Obama +5.4
|
Florida |
Trump +0.2
|
Clinton +2.7
|
29
|
Obama +0.9
|
Georgia |
Trump +0.5
|
Trump +5.0 |
16
|
Romney +7.8
|
Indiana |
Trump +9.0
|
Trump +8.0 |
11
|
Romney +10.2
|
Iowa |
Trump +1.0
|
Trump +3.7 |
6
|
Obama +5.8
|
Michigan |
Clinton +6.0
|
Clinton +7.0 |
16
|
Obama +9.5
|
Missouri |
Trump +6.0
|
Trump +9.2 |
10
|
Romney +9.4
|
New Hampshire |
Clinton +6.0
|
Clinton +6.0 |
4
|
Obama +5.6
|
Nevada |
Clinton +0.5
|
Clinton +1.4 |
6
|
Obama +6.7
|
North Carolina |
Clinton +0.7
|
Clinton +2.6 |
15
|
Romney +2.0
|
Ohio |
Clinton +1.8
|
Clinton +0.5 |
18
|
Obama +3.0
|
Pennsylvania |
Clinton +5.8
|
Clinton +8.6 |
20
|
Obama +5.4
|
Virginia |
Clinton +6.3
|
Clinton +7.5 |
13
|
Obama +3.9
|
Wisconsin |
Clinton +4.4
|
Clinton +6.7 |
10
|
Obama +6.9
|


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