DemDaily: State of The Senate
October 16, 2018
There are 35 of the 100 US Senate seats up for election November 6, 2018. With every Trump drama, speculation on which party will ultimately control the Senate has shifted.
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The Republican Party holds a 51 to 49 seat majority over the Democrats (including two independents) in the US Senate. Democrats will need to pick up a net gain of two seats to take the majority in 2018.
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Now just 21 days away from the election, however, the outcome will be determined by the results of essentially the same key races, with some changes to their ratings.
Image: John Lund/Corbis/Getty
Democratic incumbents in "red" states, where Trump won in 2016, are most vulnerable. Those include Florida, Indiana, Montana, Missouri, North Dakota and West Virginia.
For the GOP, their greatest challenge is defending the open seats in Arizona and Tennessee, as well as incumbent re-election battles in Nevada and Texas.
As always, the end result will come down to which party gets the vote out!
2018 US Senate Elections Update
Ratings based on a review of The Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Rothenberg and DemList's final call.
|
State
|
Incumbent Status |
Democrat
|
Republican |
Rating
|
|
Arizona
|
OPEN (Jeff Flake/Retiring | Kyrsten Sinema | Martha McSally | Toss Up |
|
California
|
On Ballot
|
Diane Feinstein (Incumbent)
v. Kevin de Leon
|
No Candidate
|
Safe D |
|
Connecticut
|
On Ballot
|
Chris Murphy
|
Matthew Corey
|
Safe D |
|
Delaware
|
On Ballot
|
Tom Carper
|
Robert Arlett
|
Safe D
|
|
Florida
|
On Ballot
|
Bill Nelson
|
Rick Scott | Toss Up |
|
Hawaii
|
On Ballot |
Mazine Hirona
|
Ron Curtis
|
Safe D
|
|
Indiana
|
On Ballot |
Joe Donnelly
|
Toss Up | |
|
Maine
|
On Ballot |
Angus King (Ind)
|
Likely (I) | |
|
Maryland
|
On Ballot |
Ben Cardin
|
Tony Campbell
|
Safe D |
|
Massachusetts
|
On Ballot |
Elizabeth Warren
|
Safe D
|
|
|
Michigan
|
On Ballot |
Debbie Stabenow
|
John James |
Likely D
|
|
Minnesota (1)
|
On Ballot |
Amy Klobuchar
|
Jeff Newberger |
Safe D
|
|
Minnesota (2)
|
On Ballot |
Tina Smith
|
Karin Housley | Likely D |
|
Mississippi (1)
|
On Ballot | David Baria |
Roger Wicker
|
Safe R |
|
Mississippi (2)
|
On Ballot | Cindy Hyde-Smith | Mike Espy | Likely R |
|
Missouri
|
On Ballot |
Claire McCaskill
|
Josh Hawley |
Toss Up
|
|
Montana
|
On Ballot |
Jon Tester
|
Lean D | |
|
Nebraska
|
On Ballot |
Jane Raybould
|
Deb Fischer
|
Safe R |
|
Nevada
|
On Ballot | Jacky Rosen |
Dean Heller
|
Toss Up
|
|
New Jersey
|
On Ballot |
Bob Menendez
|
Bob Hugin |
Lean D
|
|
New Mexico
|
On Ballot |
Martin Heinrich
|
Mick Rich |
Safe D
|
|
New York
|
On Ballot |
Kirstin Gillibrand
|
Chele Chiavacci Farley
|
Safe D
|
|
North Dakota
|
On Ballot |
Heidi Heitkamp
|
Kevin Cramer | Lean R |
|
Ohio
|
On Ballot | Sherrod Brown |
Jim Renacci
|
Likely D
|
|
Pennsylvania
|
On Ballot |
Bob Casey, Jr
|
Lou Barletta
|
Likely D |
|
Rhode Island
|
On Ballot |
Sheldon Whitehouse
|
Robert Flanders |
Safe D
|
|
Tennessee
|
OPEN (Bob Corker/Retiring) | Phil Bredesen | Marsha Blackburn | Lean R |
|
Texas
|
On Ballot
|
Beto O'Rourke |
Ted Cruz
|
Lean R |
|
Utah
|
OPEN (Orrin Hatch/Retiring)
|
Jenny Wilson | Mitt Romney | Safe R |
|
Vermont
|
On Ballot |
Bernie Sanders (Ind)
|
Lawrence Zupan |
Safe (I)
|
|
Virginia
|
On Ballot |
Tim Kaine
|
Corey Steward | Likely D |
|
Washington
|
On Ballot |
Maria Cantwell
|
Susan Hutchison |
Safe D
|
|
West Virginia
|
On Ballot |
Joe Manchin
|
Patrick Morrisey | Lean D |
|
Wisconsin
|
On Ballot |
Tammy Baldwin
|
Leah Vukmir | Likely D |
|
Wyoming
|
On Ballot | Gary Trauner |
John Barrasso
|
Safe R |
DemList will keep you informed!
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