DemDaily: Red State, Blue State, Swing State
March 31, 2016
In presidential politics "Red State" means Republican, "Blue State" Democrat, and purple denotes battleground or "Swing State" -- a state where no single candidate or party has the majority support to secure that state's electoral college votes.
These competitive states are the best opportunity to pick up electoral votes, and are the key to winning or losing the White House in 2016 -- particularly for Democrats.
According to a recently released Gallup analysis, there has been a dramatic shift in blue to red states since 2008. 35 states were solidly or leaning Democratic when Obama was first elected, compared to 14 in 2015. Gallup rated 20 states as solidly or leaning Republican, and a remaining 16 as "competitive." Their breakdown:
Solid Republican: Alabama, Alaska, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Utah & Wyoming.
Leaning Republican: Arkansas, Indiana, Missouri, Mississippi, Nebraska,*New Hampshire, Texas & West Virginia.
Solid Democrat:
California, Connecticut, Hawaii, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Mexico, New York, New Jersey, Rhode Island, & Vermont.
Leaning Democrat: Delaware, Oregon & Washington
(DC & Territories were not included in the analysis).
Although Gallup slates the following 16 as competitive, most pundits would say the presidential hinges on battles in a crucial ten states.
Competitive States: Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia & Wisconsin (Note: New Hampshire is considered by most to be in the top ten).
We will keep you informed as the battles unfold!
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