DemDaily: Polling Snapshot: Trump Approval Ratings

June 12, 2025

Now five months into his presidency, Donald Trump’s approval rating has dipped to 38%, below his first-term average of 41% and -- according to the latest poll from Quinnipiac University -- the lowest of his second term.

The June 5 - 9, 2025 Quinnipiac University Poll of self-identified registered voters nationwide showed 38% approve of the way the president is doing his job, while 54% disapprove (MOE: ± 2.8%). In Quinnipiac's April 9 poll, 41% approved, while 53% disapproved.

While national polling averages have hovered around 44%-45% approval since Trump took office, his next lowest rating of 39% came on April 30, at the critical 100-day mark in his administration. It the lowest 100-day job approval rating of any president in the past 80 years.

Significantly, the Quinnipiac poll shows Trump is also underwater with the public on at least seven major issues.

On Trump's handling of:
Immigration Issues: 43% approve, 54% disapprove, 3% no opinion
Deportations: 40% approve, 56% disapprove, 4% no opinion
The Economy: 40% approve, 56% disapprove, 4% no opinion
Trade: 38% approve, 57% disapprove, 6% no opinion
Universities: 37% approve, 54% disapprove, 9% no opinion
The Israel-Hamas Conflict: 35% approve, 52% disapprove, 13% no opinion
The Russia-Ukraine War: 34% approve, 57% disapprove,10% no opinion

On Trump's Big Beautiful Bill
As the Senate debates the GOP tax and spending bill titled "One Big Beautiful Bill Act," with Trump pushing for a July 4 deadline to sign it, registered voters oppose the legislation by 53%-27%, with 20% offering no opinion. By partisan breakdown:

Republicans: 67%-10% support the bill, with 22% offering no opinion
Democrats: 89%-2% oppose the bill, with 10% offering no opinion
Independents: 57%-20% oppose the bill, with 23% offering no opinion

According to the Quinnipiac poll, nearly half of voters (47%) think federal funding for Medicaid should increase, 40% think it should stay about the same, and 10% think federal funding for Medicaid should decrease.

Among Republicans, 21% think federal funding for Medicaid should increase, 56% think it should stay about the same, and 18% think it should decrease.

Among Democrats, 69% think federal funding for Medicaid should increase, 27% think it should stay about the same, and 2% think it should decrease.

Among independents, 47% think federal funding for Medicaid should increase, 39% think it should stay about the same, and 11% think it should decrease.

"With Medicaid's future as a healthcare safety net for millions suddenly uncertain, voters make it clear they want the 60-year-old program for those in need to be handled with care." - Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy

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Kimberly Scott
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The Economist, YouGov, Quinnipiac, Newsweek, The Hill, NYT

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