DemDaily: House Retirement Rollout
October 22, 2019
Now almost midway through the 116th Congress, an update on the latest new wave of retirements from the US House of Representatives!
|US House of Representatives: 235 Democrat
(includes three vacancies)
While a handful of Members are leaving to run for higher office, the mounting GOP departures are largely attributed to the frustration of being in the minority and subject to the unpopular whims of an unstable White House, as well as the pro-Democratic voter trend in some districts.So far, 22 Republicans have left or are leaving the lower chamber, along with just seven Democrats.
Of those, three resigned in advance of the end of their term and two passed away in office, requiring five special elections.
Two of those have taken place -- in North Carolina's 3rd District, where Gregory Murphy (R) won the seat to succeed the late Walter Jones (R), and in Pennsylvania's 12th District, where Fred Keller (R) defeated Marc Friedenberg (D) to succeed Tom Marino (R).
A third special, for Wisconsin's 7th CD to fill the vacancy left by Sean Duffy (R), will take place on May 12, 2020. The remaining two, for New York's 27th CD to replace Chris Collins (R), and Maryland's 7th, for a successor to the late Elijah Cummings, have yet to be scheduled.
Among the retirements are two of the GOP's mere 13 female members, and their only African American member, Will Hurd (TX), one of six Republican members who are a part of the "Texodus" from the Lone Star State.
The GOP witnessed an exodus of 34 members under Trump in 2018, almost twice that of Democrats, who rode a blue wave of victories to control of the US House. Let's hope the next wave takes us all the way to the White House.
2020 HOUSE DEPARTURES
|State/District||Member||Cook Partisan Voting Index||2018 Margin of Victory||Status||First
|R+15||+26.4 pts||Running for US Senate||2012|
|R+9||+20.0 pts||Running for County Board of Supervisors||2012|
|Indiana/5||Susan Brooks||R+9||+13.6 pts||Retiring||2012|
|Illinois/15||John Shimkus||R+21||+41.8 pts||Retiring||1996|
|R+24||+36.2 pts||Running for US Senate||2016|
|D+26||+55.1 pts||Died in Office||1996|
Joseph Kennedy III
|D+9||+95.4 pts||Running for US Senate||2012|
|Michigan/10||Paul Mitchell||R+13||+25.3 pts||Retiring||2016|
|Montana/AL||Greg Gianforte||R+11||+4.7 pts||Running for Governor||2016|
Ben Ray Luján
|D+8||+32.2 pts||Running for US Senate||2008|
|R+11||+0.3 pts||Resigned 9/30/19. Special Election: TBD||2012|
|R+12||+100 pts||Died in Office. Successor Gregory Murphy (R)||1994|
|R+17||+32 pts||Resigned 1/23/19. Successor Fred Keller (R)||2010|
|Texas/17||Bill Flores||R+12||+15.5 pts||Retiring||2010|
|Texas/22||Pete Olson||R+10||+4.9 pts||Retiring||2008|
|Texas/23||Will Hurd||R+1||+0.5 pts||Retiring||2014|
|Texas/24||Kenny Marchant||R+9||+3.1 pts||Retiring||2004|
|Utah/1||Rob Bishop||R+26||+36.7 pts||Retiring||2002|
|Wisconsin/5||Jim Sensenbrenner||R+13||+24 pts||Retiring||1978|
|Wisconsin/7||Sean Duffy||R+8||+21.6 pts||Resigned 9/23/19||2010|
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Resources: Ballotpedia, Cook Political Report, CNN