DemDaily: Endangered Democrats: The List
September 14, 2017
In following on our rundown on vulnerable House Republicans, a look at the most competitive Democratic seats in the 2018 battle for control of the House.
| Democrats hold 194 seats to Republicans 241. It will take a net gain of 24 seats for Democrats to take control of the House in 2018. |
Niki Tsongas (MA-3) is thesole Democratic retirement to-date. Seven other Dems are leaving the House to run for higher office
While the ongoing Trump controversies, GOP departures (8 retirements/8 running for higher office) and the recent Democratic fundraising performance may have shifted the numbers in Dem's favor, much - as we know - can still happen in the next year leading up to the November, 2018 elections.
Key: Likely Democrat (10), Lean Democrats (6) and Democratic Toss Up (3).
Republican's Top Democratic Congressional District Targets
| State | District | Incumbent Democrat |
|
Arizona
|
01 | Tom O'Halleran |
|
California
|
07 | Ami Bera |
|
California
|
24 | Salud Carbajal |
|
Florida
|
07 | Stephanie Murphy |
|
Florida
|
13 | Charlie Crist |
|
Iowa
|
02 | David Loebsack |
|
Minnesota
|
01 | Tim Walz OPEN |
|
Minnesota
|
07 | Colin Peterson |
|
Minnesota
|
08 | Rick Nolan |
|
Nevada
|
03 | Jacky Rosen OPEN |
|
Nevada
|
04 | Ruben Kihuen |
|
New Hampshire
|
01 | Carol Shea-Porter |
|
New Hampshire
|
02 | Ann Kuster |
|
New Jersey
|
05 | Josh Gottheimer |
|
New York
|
03 | Thomas Suozzi |
|
New York
|
18 | Sean Maloney |
|
Oregon
|
05 | Kurt Schrader |
|
Pennsylvania
|
17 | Matthew Cartwright |
|
Wisconsin
|
03 |
Ron Kind
|
In addition, Cook and other pundits universally rate Florida's 27th Congressional District, where Republican Ileana Ros-Lehtinen is retiring, as a Lean or Likely Democratic takeover.
For Endangered Republicans, see:
DemDaily: House Retirements, Races and Ratings
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Sources: Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, FiveThirtyEight
