DemDaily: Election Results. Florida and New York!

August 24, 2022

Voters in Florida and New York went to the polls Tuesday to decide, among others, critical statewide races, the victors of two House special elections, and a historical showdown between two powerful incumbent Democrats.

NEW YORK
New York 12 CD: In the last of the six primary elections where redistricting pitted incumbent Members of Congress against each other, Congressman Jerrold Nadler prevailed over Congresswoman Carolyn Maloney 55.4% to 24.4%. Attorney Suraj Patel secured 19.2%.

Nadler and Maloney have represented liberal Manhattan's Upper West Side and Upper East Side, respectively, since being elected in 1992.

Nadler, who as Chair of the House Judiciary Committee led both impeachments of Donald Trump, was buoyed in the last weeks of the campaign by endorsements from The New York Times and New York Senator and Majority Leader Chuck Schumer. Maloney is the first woman to chair the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee. Nadler will be challenged by GOP nominee Michael Zumbluskas.

The winners of each of the August 23 Special Congressional General Elections in New York will serve through January 3, 2023, but still have to run separately in newly redistricted congressional seats on November 8, 2022 for a full term in the next Congress.

New York's 19th Congressional District Special Election
In the special election to fill the remaining term of Congressman Antonio Delgado (D), who vacated the seat in May to become Lieutenant Governor, Pat Ryan (D) defeated Marc Molinaro (R) 51.1% to 48.9%.

The battleground seat, which slightly favors the GOP, was closely watched for its reflection of the political climate nationally. In the Albany-based district, which Trump won in 2016 and Biden narrowly won in 2020, Democrats turned out in disproportionately high numbers to elect Ryan, a tech entrepreneur and Ulster County Executive who ran on preserving abortion rights.

Molinaro, a former Mayor of Tivoli, former State Assemblyman and current Dutchess County Executive, ran on the economy and crime.

In the contest for the regularly scheduled election for the 218th Congress, however, the two are running in different districts, with Ryan running in the redrawn 18th district against Republican Colin Schmitt, and Molinaro in the new 19th district against Democrat Josh Riley. Both seats, which take in parts of the current 19th CD, are competitive.

New York's 23rd Congressional District Special Election
In the race to fill the remaining term of Republican Congressman Tom Reed, who resigned in May following a sexual misconduct scandal, Steuben County Republican Committee Joe Sempolinski defeated veteran and Tioga County Democratic Committee Chair Max Della Pia (D) 53.3% to 46.7%.

Sempolinski, however, will only serve for the next four months as he is not running for the regular general election in November. Instead, Della Pia will face state Republican Party Chairman Nick Langworthy, who defeated right-wing Carl Paladino, 52.1% to 47.9%, in the GOP primary.

CD 3: Robert Zimmerman won the Democratic nomination in the open seat vacated by Congressman Tom Suozzi to run unsuccessfully for nomination for Governor. Zimmerman, who defeated four other contenders with 35.8% of the vote, will face Republican George Santos in the toss-up contest.

CD 10: In the newly redistricted open New York City-based seat, Dan Goldman, a former federal prosecutor who helped impeach Donald Trump, defeated 12 opponents to win the Democratic primary with 25.8%. State Assemblywoman Yuh-Line Niou garnered 23.7%, followed by Congressman Mondaire Jones (18.2%), who was forced to run in the new 10th rather than face fellow Congressman Sean Patrick Maloney in the 17th CD. Goldman will face GOP nominee Benine Hamdan.

Maloney easily won the 17 CD primary with 66.7% and will be challenged by Republican Michael Lawler.

Florida, long considered the country's largest swing state, has been trending Republican, with Sunshine State voters delivering wins to Donald Trump in 2016 (48.60%) and 2020 (51.22%). Democrats are hoping to reverse that course statewide, however, with the Senate race in a statistical dead heat and now a more moderate gubernatorial nominee.

FLORIDA
US Senate: Two-term Republican Senator Marco Rubio will be challenged by Congresswoman Val Demings, who swept the Democratic primary with 85%.

The last reported poll, an August 8-12, 2022 survey conducted by the University of North Florida of registered voters, showed Demings leading Rubio leading 48% to 44% (MOE: +/- 3.4%).

Governor: Republican incumbent Ron DeSantis, a 2024 White House aspirant, will face former Governor and Congressman Charlie Crist, who secured the Democratic nomination with 60% to state Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried's 35.1%. Crist, who served as the Republican Governor of Florida from 2007 to 2011, has served in Congress as a Democrat since being elected in 2016.

The pre-primary University of North Florida survey had DeSantis leading Crist 50% to 42%.

CD 7: In the newly redistricted, now Republican-leaning seventh congressional district to succeed retiring Democratic Congresswoman Stephanie Murphy, Democratic political strategist Karen Green will face defense contractor Cory Mills.

CD 10: In the open seat to replace the Orlando-based district held by Demings, progressive activist Maxwell Frost prevailed in the Democratic primary with 34.3%. He was followed by State Senator Rudolph Bracy (24.8%), former Congressman Alan Grayson (15.5%) and former Congresswoman Corrine Brown (9.6%). Six other candidates came in at under 7%.

Frost will face conservative veteran Calvin Wimbish in the general.

CD 11: Three-term Republican Congressman Daniel Webster, an election denier, fended off a primary challenge by even more fervent far-right activist Laura Loomer, 51.1% to 44.2%. Webster is being challenged by Democrat Shante Munns in the general election.

CD 13: In the Tampa-area seat vacated by Crist, Obama administration official Eric Lynn (D) will go up against Trump-endorsed author Anna Paulina Luna (R), who won the GOP primary with 44.5%.

Oklahoma Runoffs
US Senate Special Primary Runoff
Five-term Congressman Markwayne Mullin (65.1%) defeated former House Speaker T.W. Shannon (34.9%) to secure the Republican nomination in the race to replace Senator Jim Inhofe (R), who is retiring midterm. Mullin will face former Congresswoman Kendra Horn, the Democratic nominee.

The winner of the special general election in November will hold the seat until January 2027, the end of Inhofe’s current term.

US Senate Primary Runoff
Cybersecurity consultant Madison Horn won the Democratic primary runoff to challenge two-term Republican Senator James Lankford in the November general election. Horn secured 65.5% to Jason Bollinger's 34.5%.

 

Up Next
August 27: Guam Primary
September 6: Massachusetts Primary

DemList will keep you informed.

The are six state and territorial primaries remaining in 2022.
See DemDaily: The 2022 Election Calendar

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Kimberly Scott
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Sources: New York Times, NBCNewYork, FiveThirtyEight

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