DemDaily: California Dreaming

June 8, 2018

California's primary Tuesday swept in good news for the blue wave, with the assurance that the US Senate seat will stay in Democratic hands, the election of more women candidates in the field, and Democrats on the ballot in 52 of the 53 Congressional Districts in November.

Of the eight state primaries held Tuesday, the most anticipated was California, with a US Senate, Governor and our country's largest delegation of US House seats up for election.

While more Democrats are running than ever before, there were concerns that the multitude of primary candidates would fracture the vote and inadvertently shut out Dems from one of the top two slots.

California operates under a "jungle" primary system, where the two top vote getters, regardless of party, advance to general election in November.

California and its 55 presidential electoral votes have consistently gone to a Democrat since 1992, as has their US Senate seats.


Seats Up:  US Senate, US House 39D/14R), Governor, Lt. Governor, Attorney General, Secretary of State, State Executive Offices, State Senate, State Assembly, Supreme Court, Appellate Court, Local Judges, State &  Local Ballot Measures, School Boards, Municipal, Recalls.

Governor Gavin Newsom?

US Senate: Incumbent Democrat Dianne Feinstein and State Senator Kevin de León (D) were the top two vote-getters, earning 43.9% and 11.3% respectively against thirtyother candidates. Feinstein is heavily favored in their November match up.

Governor: In the race to succeed popular incumbent Governor Jerry Brown (D), who is term-limited, Lt. Governor Gavin Newsom (D) with 33.4%, and Republican John Cox (R) with 26.2% ,will advance to the general election.

They triumphed over former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa (D/13.4%), California State Assemblyman Travis Allen (R/9.7%), former State Controller and State Treasurer John Chiang (D/9%), and 22 other contenders.

US House: Democrats hold 39 US House seats to the Republicans' 14 -- at least seven of which were won by Hillary Clinton in 2016, and are primed for pick up by Democrats, who need a net gain of 23 seats needed to take back the US House.

Congressional Districts (CD) where incumbent is running, and rated Safe or Likely to be reelected

Democrat Incumbent

Expected or Likely to be Reelected (& CD)
Huffman (2), Garamendi (3), Thompson (5), Matsui (6), Bera (7), McNerney (9), DeSaulnier (11), Pelosi (12), Lee (13), Speier (14), Swalwell (15), Costa (16), Rhanna (17), Eshoo (18), Logfgren (19), Panetta (20), Carbajal (24), Brownley (26), Chu (27), Schiff (28), Cardenas (29), Sherman (30), Aquilar (31), Napolitano (32), Lieu (33), Gomez (34), Torres (35), Ruiz (36), Bass (37), Sanchez (38), Roybal-Allard (40), Takano (41), Waters (43), Barragan (44), Correa (46), Lowenthal (47), Vargas (51), Peters (52), Davis (53)

Republican Incumbent

Expected or Likely to be Reelected (& CD)
La Malta (1), Tom McClintock (4), Cook (8), Nunes (22), McCarthy (23), Calvert (42), Hunter (50)

Top Targeted Congressional Districts (CD) rated as Toss Up or Vulernable

CD Incumbent
Primary Winners (top two vote-getters
advance to General Election)
Jeff Denham (R)
Jeff Denham (R/37.7%), Josh Harder (D/15.7%), Ted Howze (R/14.4%), Michael Eggman (D/11%) Other 21.2% (4D)
David Valadao (R)
David Valadao (R), T.J. Cox (D)

*Only two candidates running

25 Stephen Knight (R)
Stephen Knight (R/52.8%), Katie Hill (D/20.2%), Bryan Caforio (D/18.3%), Other 8.7% (3D)
39 Edward Royce (R), Retiring
OPENYoung Kim (R/22%), Gil Cisneros (D/19.3%), Phil Liberatore (R/14.1%), Andy Thorburn (D/9%), Other 35.6% (4D/5R/2Ind/2AIP)
45 Mimi Walters (R)
Mimi Walters (R/53.1%), Katie Porter (D/19.9%), Dave Min (D/17.3%), Other 9.6% (2D/1Ind)
48 Dana Rohrabacher (R)
Dana Rohrabacher (R/30.4%), Hans Keirstead (D/17.3%), 
Harley Rouda (D/17.1%), Other 35.2% (6D/5R/1Ind/1L)
49 Darrell Issa (R), Retiring
OPEN. Diane Harkey (R/25.5%), Mike Levin (D/17/3%), Sara Jacobs (D/15.4%), Other 41.8% (2D/7R/1Ind/1G/1PF)

More than a dream for Democrats.

DemDaily: The State of Eight: Primary Results 6/7/18

Next Primaries Up! June 12th in Maine, Nevada, North Dakota, South Carolina and Virginia.

DemList will keep you informed.

Connecting you to The Party
Connecting you to Each Other

Kimberly Scott


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Sources: Ballotpedia, New York Times, Vox, LA Times, Cook Political Report, Wiki

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