DemDaily: The 2018 Senate Outlook
February 2, 2017
Democrats can't catch a break. Of the 33 Senate seats up for grabs in 2018, 25 are held by Democrats
(including the 2 Independents that caucus with the Dems) and just 8 by Republicans.
Democrats currently hold 48 seats to Republicans 52. It will take a net gain of 3 seats for Democrats to take control of the Senate in 2018. It takes 51 votes to approve a bill, and 60 votes to block a filibuster.
Democrats hope to count on the historic edge of mid-terms gains favored by the Party outside the White House, as well as the negatives of a temperamental Trump presidency (at only 45% approval) and controversial Cabinet votes, but there is still plenty of time for the political landscape to shift - either way.
2018 Toss-Up Bill Nelson (D-FL), Joe Donnelly (D-IN), Claire McCaskill (D-MO)
Our initial analysis of 2018 Senate contests places 15 races in the Safe D camp and 6 in the Safe R camp, leaving 12 races hanging in the balance as Lean or Toss Up: Arizona, Florida, Indiana, Maine, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, North Dakota, Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia and Wisconsin.
The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC), which is Chaired by Senator Chris Van Hollen (MD), is the campaign arm of the national Democratic Party, whose principle mission is to elect and re-elect Member of the US Senate.
2018 Senate Races
| State | Incumbent |
Race Status | State | Incumbent | Race Status | |
| Arizona | Jeff Flake (R) | Lean R | New Jersey | Bob Menendez (D) |
Safe D
|
|
| California | Dianne Feinstein (D) |
Safe D
|
New Mexico | Martin Heinrich (D) |
Safe D
|
|
| Connecticut | Chris Murphy (D) |
Safe D
|
New York | Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Safe D
|
|
|
Delaware
|
Tom Carper (D) |
Safe D
|
North Dakota | Heidi Heitkamp (D) | Lean D | |
| Florida | Bill Nelson (D) | Tossup | Ohio | Sherrod Brown (D) | Lean D | |
| Hawaii | Mazie Hirono (D) |
Safe D
|
Pennsylvania | Bob Casey (D) | Lean D | |
| Indiana | Joe Donnelly (D) | Tossup | Rhode Island | Sheldon Whitehouse (D) |
Safe D
|
|
| Maine | Angus King (I) | Lean I/D | Tennessee | Bob Corker (R) | Safe R | |
|
Maryland
|
Ben Cardin (D) |
Safe D
|
Texas | Ted Cruz (R) |
Safe R
|
|
| Massachusetts | Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Safe D
|
Utah | Orrin Hatch (R) |
Safe R
|
|
| Michigan | Debbie Stabenow (D) |
Safe D
|
Vermont | Bernie Sanders (I) |
Safe I/D
|
|
| Minnesota | Amy Klobuchar (D) | Safe D | Virginia | Tim Kaine (D) |
Safe D
|
|
| Mississippi | Roger Wicker (R) | Safe R | Washington | Maria Cantwell (D) | Safe D | |
|
Missouri
|
Claire McCaskill (D) | Tossup | West Virginia | Joe Manchin (D) | Lean D | |
| Montana | Jon Tester (D) | Lean D | Wisconsin | Tammy Baldwin (D) | Lean D | |
| Nebraska | Deb Fischer (R) |
Safe R
|
Wyoming | John Barrasso (R) |
Safe R
|
|
| Nevada | Dean Heller (R) | Lean R |
Check the Dailys for updates and pass it on!
Reminder!
DNC Future Forum #3 this Saturday, February 4th in Detroit!
Details & Candidates: Go to The DemList Calendar
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Sources: Cook Report, Rothenberg-Gonzales, Huffington Post, Sabato
